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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" article-type="research-article" xml:lang="en">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Arab Journal of Administration</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="ppub">1110-5453</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Arab Administrative Development Organization</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21608/aja.2024.315394.1701</article-id>

      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Financial Management</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>

      <title-group>
        <article-title>The Effect of Financial Microeconomics and Macroeconomics Factors on the Sustainable Growth of the Listed Egyptian Firms</article-title>
      </title-group>

      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Youssef</surname>
            <given-names>Amr</given-names>
          </name>
          <role>Prof. Vice Dean for Educational Affairs</role>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/>
          <email>amraziz@aast.edu</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Etab</surname>
            <given-names>Menan</given-names>
          </name>
          <role>Dr. Lecturer in the Accounting and Finance Department</role>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/>
          <email>menanetab@aast.edu</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Amer</surname>
            <given-names>Mrwan</given-names>
          </name>
          <role>Dr. Vice Dean for Training and Community Service</role>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/>
          <email>mrwan.amer@aast.edu</email>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>

      <aff id="aff1">
        <institution>Arab Academy for Science, Technology and Maritime Transport</institution>
        <addr-line>Alexandria</addr-line>
        <country country="EG">Egypt</country>
      </aff>

      <pub-date pub-type="ppub">
        <month>10</month>
        <year>2025</year>
      </pub-date>

      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <month>08</month>
          <year>2024</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <month>11</month>
          <year>2024</year>
        </date>
      </history>

      <volume>45</volume>
      <issue>5</issue>
      <fpage>395</fpage>
      <lpage>418</lpage>

      <permissions>
        <license license-type="open-access">
          <license-p>This article is distributed under the terms specified by the publisher.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>

      <abstract>
        <p>In the world of business, measuring a company's performance is crucial to determine its success. The concept of financial sustainability has become a critical factor for companies aiming to achieve long-term success. The crucial factor in determining a company's financial sustainability is its sustainable growth rate (SGR). In the context of frequent financial crises and the COVID-19 pandemic, the study of factors that may influence firms' sustainable growth rate has become excessively pressing. This research investigated the effect of internal financial decisions, especially investment, financing, dividends, and working capital management along with the impact of macroeconomic factors, especially GDP growth rate, inflation, and interest rate, on firms' sustainable growth rate. The study was conducted on a sample of non-financial firms in the EGX30 index covering the period from 2009 to 2021. The results indicated that financial leverage, dividends policy, and working capital management showed a significant negative effect, whereas the other variables demonstrated insignificant effects on the sustainable growth rate of the sample under the study. The results suggest that the impact of internal financial decisions and macroeconomic factors on the sustainable growth must be used with care as the effect may differ depending on other contexts and industries.</p>
      </abstract>

      <kwd-group>
        <title>Keywords</title>
        <kwd>Financial Sustainability</kwd>
        <kwd>Sustainable Growth Rate</kwd>
        <kwd>Investment Decision</kwd>
        <kwd>Financing Decision</kwd>
        <kwd>Dividend Decision</kwd>
        <kwd>Working Capital</kwd>
        <kwd>GDP Growth Rate</kwd>
        <kwd>Inflation</kwd>
        <kwd>Interest Rate</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>

  <body>
    <sec id="sec1">
      <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>The measurement of a company's performance to determine its success is an essential aspect of business analysis and evaluation. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref63">RL and Mishra (2022)</xref> indicated that net profit margin is one of the best metrics of firms' performance. As time passed, the business world became more complex, and criticisms have pointed out that profit alone cannot capture the complete picture of a company's performance. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref74">Zhou et al. (2022)</xref> mentioned that attention is paid to firms' financial sustainable development especially in the context of frequent financial crises and COVID-19 pandemic. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref38">Lu et al. (2022)</xref> confirmed that during the COVID-19 crisis, firms with strong sustainability were more flexible and less affected regarding financial performance. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref55">Radasanu (2015)</xref> mentioned that sustainable growth rate (SGR) is a crucial factor in determining a company's long-term financial sustainability.</p>
      <p>Sustainable Growth Rate is a financial metric that calculates the maximum growth rate a company can achieve without the need for external financing while maintaining a stable financial structure. Sustainable growth is an essential aspect of a firm's long-term success, and investigating the key factors that impact it is crucial for businesses. As recent studies have shown, financial decisions play a significant role in determining a company's sustainable growth rate. Investment decision, financing decision, dividend decision, and working capital management is the most important firms' decisions that influence firms' sustainable growth rate <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref73">(Zhao et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref72">Vuković et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref37">Lontchi et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">Chen et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref68">Sunardi, 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref45">Nastiti et al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref48">Nugroho et al., 2018)</xref>.</p>
      <p>For a broader understanding of the factors influencing the sustainable growth of companies, it is crucial to study in a comprehensive way the impact of macroeconomic factors on it. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">Huy et al. (2021)</xref>, one of the primary factors affecting the relationship between inflation and firms' sustainable growth rate is investment decision. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref36">Liu et al. (2022)</xref> confirmed that interest rates have a significant effect on firms' ability to sustain growth.</p>
    </sec>

    <sec id="sec2">
      <title>Theoretical Framework and Literature Review</title>
      <p>In the context of financial sustainability, various theories come into play when examining the factors that influence companies' financial decisions and their ability to achieve long-term sustainability. The theories include agency theory, signaling theory, pecking order theory, and trade-off theory.</p>
      
      <fig id="fig1">
        <label>Figure 1</label>
        <caption><title>Conceptual Model</title></caption>
        <graphic xlink:href="https://aradorganization-my.sharepoint.com/:i:/g/personal/mhashem_arado_org/IQAAd3ebInx3Qo_vI4KViDYaAVTGKzIm-NqQ_kBdf2xOoXw?e=vwG6k0"/>
      </fig>

      <p><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">Nguyen and Nguyen (2021)</xref> investigated the effect of debt and dividend policies in mitigating the negative impact of overinvestment on the performance of firms. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">Bitok et al. (2021)</xref> investigated the impact of financial leverage on the financial sustainability of microfinance institutions in Kenya. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">Hasanuddin et al. (2021)</xref> analyzed the effect of the leverage, the liquidity ratio, the investment opportunity set, and firm size on the quality of earnings.</p>
      
      <p>Based on the literature discussed, the hypotheses in this study are formulated as follows:</p>
      <list list-type="bullet">
        <list-item><p><bold>H1:</bold> There is a positive significant relationship between the company's capital investment and its sustainable growth rate.</p></list-item>
        <list-item><p><bold>H2:</bold> There is a negative significant relationship between the company's financial leverage and its sustainable growth rate.</p></list-item>
        <list-item><p><bold>H3:</bold> There is a negative relationship between the company's dividends policy and its sustainable growth rate.</p></list-item>
        <list-item><p><bold>H4:</bold> There is a positive significant relationship between the company's working capital management and its sustainable growth rate.</p></list-item>
        <list-item><p><bold>H5:</bold> There is a significant positive relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate and companies' sustainable growth rate.</p></list-item>
        <list-item><p><bold>H6:</bold> There is a significant negative relationship between inflation and companies' sustainable growth rate.</p></list-item>
        <list-item><p><bold>H7:</bold> There is a significant negative relationship between interest rate and companies' sustainable growth rate.</p></list-item>
      </list>
    </sec>

    <sec id="sec3">
      <title>Methodology</title>
      <p>In this research, the action research strategy is employed as it is the most appropriate research strategy, along with the deductive method. The quantitative approach is a powerful tool for exploring research problems and answering research questions. The population of study focuses on companies listed in the EGX 30 index. The sample includes sixteen active companies belonging to nine sectors for the period from 2009 to 2021.</p>
      
      <table-wrap id="tab1">
        <label>Table 1</label>
        <caption><title>Descriptive Analysis for Research Variables</title></caption>
        <table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
          <thead>
            <tr>
              <th>Variable</th>
              <th>Minimum</th>
              <th>Maximum</th>
              <th>Mean</th>
              <th>Std. Deviation</th>
            </tr>
          </thead>
          <tbody>
            <tr><td>Sustainable Growth Rate</td><td>-64%</td><td>136.5%</td><td>8.4%</td><td>19.4%</td></tr>
            <tr><td>Capital Investment</td><td>-42.3%</td><td>145.9%</td><td>4%</td><td>13.8%</td></tr>
            <tr><td>Financial Leverage</td><td>8.5%</td><td>839.7%</td><td>164.5%</td><td>152.9%</td></tr>
            <tr><td>Dividends Policy</td><td>-0.9%</td><td>376.6%</td><td>60.3%</td><td>43.1%</td></tr>
            <tr><td>Working Capital Management</td><td>45.7%</td><td>1000%</td><td>197.4%</td><td>160.5%</td></tr>
            <tr><td>GDP Growth Rate</td><td>1.8%</td><td>5.6%</td><td>3.81%</td><td>1.2%</td></tr>
            <tr><td>Inflation</td><td>4.6%</td><td>29.7%</td><td>11.2%</td><td>5.6%</td></tr>
            <tr><td>Interest Rate</td><td>9.4%</td><td>19.2%</td><td>12.8%</td><td>2.7%</td></tr>
          </tbody>
        </table>
      </table-wrap>
    </sec>

    <sec id="sec4">
      <title>Results and Discussion</title>
      <p>Testing the research hypotheses and results discussion will be done first at the level of all firms in the sample, then will be done at the sectoral levels.</p>
      
      <sec id="sec4-1">
        <title>Results Discussion at the Level of All Firms</title>
        <p>In this section, focusing on the application of regression analysis and the comparison between fixed effects and random effects models using the Hausman test. Table 2 presents the regression results for the research hypotheses.</p>

        <table-wrap id="tab2">
          <label>Table 2</label>
          <caption><title>Regression of Internal Financial Determinants and External Macroeconomic Determinants on Sustainable Growth Rate</title></caption>
          <table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
            <thead>
              <tr>
                <th>Variable</th>
                <th>Coefficient</th>
                <th>Std. Error</th>
                <th>t-Statistic</th>
                <th>Prob.</th>
              </tr>
            </thead>
            <tbody>
              <tr><td>C</td><td>0.032736</td><td>0.459846</td><td>0.071190</td><td>0.6461</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Capital Investment</td><td>0.116241</td><td>0.098816</td><td>1.176338</td><td>0.2409</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Financial Leverage</td><td>-0.026125</td><td>0.009697</td><td>-2.694171</td><td>0.0077</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Dividends Policy</td><td>-0.116873</td><td>0.032619</td><td>-3.582928</td><td>0.0004</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Working Capital Management</td><td>0.010398</td><td>0.009160</td><td>1.135114</td><td>0.2577</td></tr>
              <tr><td>GDP Growth Rate</td><td>1.143551</td><td>1.235318</td><td>0.925714</td><td>0.3557</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Inflation</td><td>0.164819</td><td>0.269045</td><td>0.612609</td><td>0.5408</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Interest Rate</td><td>0.599158</td><td>0.586103</td><td>1.022275</td><td>0.3079</td></tr>
              <tr><td><bold>R-squared</bold></td><td colspan="4">0.107709</td></tr>
              <tr><td><bold>Adjusted R-squared</bold></td><td colspan="4">0.076478</td></tr>
              <tr><td><bold>F-statistic</bold></td><td colspan="4">3.448875</td></tr>
              <tr><td><bold>Prob(F-statistic)</bold></td><td colspan="4">0.001654</td></tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>

        <p>Table 3 presents the fixed versus random effect analysis that was conducted using the Hausman test. The results indicated that the P-value for the Hausman test was 0.1578 (P-value > 0.05), suggesting that the random effect model is the more suitable choice.</p>

        <table-wrap id="tab3">
          <label>Table 3</label>
          <caption><title>Hausman Test for Fixed versus Random Effect</title></caption>
          <table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
            <thead>
              <tr>
                <th>Variable</th>
                <th>Fixed Effect Coefficient</th>
                <th>Fixed Prob.</th>
                <th>Random Effect Coefficient</th>
                <th>Random Prob.</th>
                <th>Hausman Test</th>
              </tr>
            </thead>
            <tbody>
              <tr><td>C</td><td>0.124749</td><td>0.0739</td><td>0.079774</td><td>0.2522</td><td rowspan="8">0.1578</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Capital Investment</td><td>0.082486</td><td>0.3879</td><td>0.318</td><td>0.093678</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Financial Leverage</td><td>-0.049243</td><td>0.0021</td><td>-0.037094</td><td>0.0018</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Dividends Policy</td><td>-0.108088</td><td>0.033624</td><td>-0.113247</td><td>0.0005</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Working Capital Mgt</td><td>-0.01972</td><td>0.011547</td><td>0.6122</td><td>-0.005108</td></tr>
              <tr><td>GDP Growth Rate</td><td>1.44686</td><td>1.137836</td><td>1.305389</td><td>0.2523</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Inflation</td><td>0.156317</td><td>0.248491</td><td>0.165623</td><td>0.505</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Interest Rate</td><td>0.529201</td><td>0.546099</td><td>0.553449</td><td>0.3078</td></tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>

        <table-wrap id="tab4">
          <label>Table 4</label>
          <caption><title>Summary of Research Hypotheses Results</title></caption>
          <table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
            <thead>
              <tr>
                <th>Hypothesis</th>
                <th>Description</th>
                <th>Result</th>
              </tr>
            </thead>
            <tbody>
              <tr><td>H1</td><td>Positive significant relationship: Capital Investment</td><td>Not Supported</td></tr>
              <tr><td>H2</td><td>Negative significant relationship: Financial Leverage</td><td>Supported</td></tr>
              <tr><td>H3</td><td>Negative significant relationship: Dividends Policy</td><td>Supported</td></tr>
              <tr><td>H4</td><td>Positive significant relationship: Working Capital</td><td>Not Supported</td></tr>
              <tr><td>H5</td><td>Positive significant relationship: GDP Growth</td><td>Not Supported</td></tr>
              <tr><td>H6</td><td>Negative significant relationship: Inflation</td><td>Not Supported</td></tr>
              <tr><td>H7</td><td>Negative significant relationship: Interest Rate</td><td>Not Supported</td></tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
      </sec>

      <sec id="sec4-2">
        <title>Results Discussion at the Sectoral Level</title>
        <p>In this section, focusing on the application of regression analysis for the sectors under study. Table 5 shows the regression analysis for the nine sectors under study.</p>

        <table-wrap id="tab5">
          <label>Table 5</label>
          <caption><title>The Regression Analysis for the Nine Sectors Under Study</title></caption>
          <table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
            <thead>
              <tr>
                <th>Sector</th>
                <th>Variable</th>
                <th>Coeff</th>
                <th>Prob.</th>
                <th>R-squared</th>
                <th>F-statistic</th>
              </tr>
            </thead>
            <tbody>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="8">First: Communications</td>
                <td>C</td><td>0.078</td><td>0.402</td><td rowspan="8">0.989</td><td rowspan="8">0.534</td>
              </tr>
              <tr><td>Capital Investment</td><td>0.8618</td><td>0.161</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Financial Leverage</td><td>-0.120</td><td>0.1653</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Dividends Policy</td><td>0.6177</td><td>0.0009</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Working Capital</td><td>-0.054</td><td>0.6375</td></tr>
              <tr><td>GDP Growth</td><td>0.8894</td><td>0.304</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Inflation</td><td>0.053</td><td>0.036</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Interest Rate</td><td>2.668</td><td>0.3261</td></tr>
              <tr>
                <td rowspan="8">Third: Transport</td>
                <td>C</td><td>-0.142</td><td>0.4666</td><td rowspan="8">0.988</td><td rowspan="8">66.01</td>
              </tr>
              <tr><td>Capital Investment</td><td>-0.009</td><td>0.9757</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Financial Leverage</td><td>0.032</td><td>0.1300</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Dividends Policy</td><td>-0.101</td><td>-0.543</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Working Capital</td><td>0.3894</td><td>0.029</td></tr>
              <tr><td>GDP Growth</td><td>0.809</td><td>0.3472</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Inflation</td><td>0.6790</td><td>-0.862</td></tr>
              <tr><td>Interest Rate</td><td>-0.083</td><td>0.5151</td></tr>
              </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
      </sec>
    </sec>

    <sec id="sec5">
      <title>Conclusion and Recommendations</title>
      <p>The study provides valuable insights into the factors influencing the sustainable growth rate of non-financial Egyptian listed firms. The findings reveal that several factors, including capital investment, financial leverage, dividend payout ratio, and working capital management, all play a crucial role in shaping the growth prospects of Egyptian listed firms. The research recommends that capital investment opportunities should be accompanied by careful evaluation. Firms should reconsider their dividend policies and focus on retaining earnings for reinvestment in the business.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>

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